Thought for the Day: 21 July 2015

Trump has been calling Mexicans rapists for weeks but the thing that will finally sink him with journalists is being mean to John McCain.

(Source)

To be fair to Trump though, his comments were taken out of context.

It is interesting to me how some public figures can be multifaceted douchebags but the public will only care about one of those facets.    For example, no one cares about Denny Hastert’s crooked land deals but the pedophilia is a showstopper.   Similarly, Bill Clinton sells out pretty much everyone who ever supported him politically but it’s the blowjob from the intern that generates outrage.  Go figure.

UPDATE 7/25/2015:  Stewart on Trump.

UPDATE 8/22/2015:  It’s now a month after the fact and no one seems to care that Trump insulted McCain.  If they do it’s not obvious from his poll numbers.  On the poll numbers, I want to know how it is that nearly half – half! – of registered Democrats in OH, PA, and FL haven’t heard enough about Bernie Sanders to have formed an opinion of him.  For comparison, 90-95% of Democrats surveyed say they know enough about Clinton and Biden to have an opinion – so for those who have an opinion – and opinions are mostly favorable – please tell me what informs your opinion.  What is it that causes you to like or not like them?

For your entertainment: Political Coordinates Test

Brad DeLong posted a link to a Political Coordinates Test the other day.   I see these tests a few times a year – figure out where you lie along Left-Right and Liberal-Conservative axes.  This one is similar to ones I’ve seen previously but that they have a little twist.  While they have a Left-Right axis instead making the second axis a Liberal-Conservative one they use a Liberal-Communitarian continuum instead.   Conservative and Communitarian are aren’t the same thing – at least not in the context of US politics.  Here’s a sample plot with some well-known political figures for reference.

comparison

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Barack Obama: Predictions and Observations

There’s been chatter about Obama’s legacy recently.  In particular, the Iran nuke deal (which I think is a good thing) and the Trans-Pacific Partnership (which I do not) have motivated the discussion.  He has a few in the win column but overall I think he’s been a godawful chief executive.  With the legacy talk in mind, I started a reading list of articles which address his shortcomings as a leader – predicted shortcomings as well as observed ones:

 

Clintonism vs Rooseveltism

I did not listen to Hillary Clinton’s speech yesterday and have not yet digested the transcript.  (That’s on tap for this week.)  I have substantial reservations about Clinton.  I don’t hate her but she generates no enthusiasm.  My sense is that she represents a contemporary Rockefeller Republicanism – more socially-liberal than the original but still very Free Market friendly.  With respect to the latter, she appreciates that government can sand down some of market capitalism sharp edges.  Sure, but… “Meh.”  If the overall mood of the country were along the lines of Rockefeller or Eisenhower Republicanism then decent odds I’d go along with it – “Meh.” but you could certainly do much worse.   Unfortunately, the country has been infected by a virulent strain of JohnBircherism which has effectively killed off the nominally liberal Republicans within the party.  The extinction of liberal Republicans leaves that niche to the Democrats and we don’t fill it very well.

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Rep. Capuano on the Trade Adjustment Assistance and Trade Promotion Authority bills

The Trade Adjustment Assistance (TAA) bill was voted down by the House yesterday. The Trade Promotion Authority (TPA) bill squeaked by.  Here’s Rep. Mike Capuano‘s take from his June 12, 2015 e-mail newsletter to constituents, supporters, and other interested subscribers:

Trade Adjustment Assistance (TAA)

The trade bills this week were considered under a Rule that prohibited any amendments. Unlike the Senate, which at least had the opportunity to improve and amend the bill put forward, the House was not allowed to offer a single amendment. Under this Rule, the House considered a motion related to Title II of H.R. 1314 renewing Trade Adjustment Assistance Programs, which are intended to help workers who lose their employment as a result of increased trade. Some sectors of the economy are more significantly impacted than others. These programs have been providing education, training, and other assistance for years. Unfortunately, this legislation just doesn’t go far enough to assist impacted workers. Public sector employees, for example, whose jobs might be outsourced are not eligible to receive any assistance through these programs. Furthermore, in a cynical political maneuver, this proposal was tied to Fast Track (see below). If this passed, Fast Track would pass. In effect defeating TAA was the only way to stop Fast Track. I voted NO. The motion FAILED to pass. Under the Rule, because the House did not pass the motion, the overall bill, including Fast Track, fails unless the vote on TAA is reversed.

 

YEA

NAY

PRESENT

NOT VOTING

REPUBLICAN

86 158 0 2

DEMOCRAT

40 144 0 4

TOTAL

126 302 0 6

MASSACHUSETTS

0 9 0 0

 

Note: Immediately after TAA failed, the Speaker made a motion to reconsider the vote next week. His hope is to switch enough votes so TAA passes, thus allowing Fast Track to move forward to the President’s desk.

 

“Fast Track”/Trade Promotion Authority (TPA)

Even though the TAA portion failed, the House still voted on the TPA portion. As you may know, Congress will soon consider two trade agreements. Historically, Congress has had the authority to agree, reject, or amend any proposed trade agreements submitted for ratification. If amended, the President was then required to re-negotiate the agreements to incorporate the changes made.

The Obama Administration, like past Presidents, requested Trade Promotion Authority (TPA), more commonly known as “Fast Track”. I do not support TPA because it significantly limits the voice of the legislative branch. By approving TPA, Congress agrees to give up its right to amend the trade agreement and instead simply takes an up or down vote on it. In this case, the House voted to grant TPA before any trade agreement was even finalized.

I think it is unwise for any Member of Congress to surrender our constitutional responsibilities without knowing exactly why this step is necessary and what specifically Congress is agreeing to. I voted NO. The motion for TPA passed, though the overall bill failed, and the entire vote is recorded below:

YEA

NAY

PRESENT

NOT VOTING

REPUBLICAN

191 54 0 1

DEMOCRAT

28 157 0 3

TOTAL

219 211 0 4

MASSACHUSETTS

0 9 0 0

UPDATE 6/14/2015:  Some additional background on the TAA and TPA bills and the votes from Robert Kuttner here.

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Thought for the Day: 5 June 2015

You sometimes find in non-literate cultures [the] development of the most extraordinary linguistic systems: often there’s tremendous sophistication about language, and people play all sorts of games with language.

What all these things look like is that people just want to use their intelligence somehow, and if you don’t have a lot of technology and so on, you do other things.

Well, in our society, we have things that you might use your intelligence on, like politics, but people really can’t get involved in them in a very serious way — so what they do is they put their minds into other things, such as sports.

You’re trained to be obedient; you don’t have an interesting job; there’s no work around for you that’s creative; in the cultural environment you’re a passive observer of usually pretty tawdry stuff; political and social life are out of your range, they’re in the hands of the rich folks. So what’s left? Well, one thing that’s left is sports — so you put a lot of the intelligence and the thought and the self-confidence into that. And I suppose that’s also one of the basic functions it serves in the society in general: it occupies the population, and keeps them from trying to get involved with things that really matter.

–  Noam Chomsky

Thought for the Day: 4 June 2015

Handing what we used to call The Commons over to private enterprises — especially private enterprises operating in the ethical wasteland of modern American corporations — doesn’t work. It is an invitation for the wolverines who run such enterprises to steal as much of the public treasury as they can and then stick us with the bill when they inevitably fail, because these corporations are not about building things. They’re about abetting the transfer of money upwards, to a stockholder class. They are vehicles for the financial services industry.

Charlie Pierce