UPDATED: The NWS is now predicting (maximum likelihood estimate I presume) that pretty much everywhere east of the Connecticut River will get over two feet of snow:
And they’re no longer hedging even a little about everyone getting at least one foot: Continue reading
From the NWS (emphasis mine):
&& .SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/... * POTENTIAL HISTORIC WINTER STORM AND BLIZZARD TO IMPACT MUCH OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND FRI INTO SAT * 1 TO 2 FEET OF SNOW POSSIBLE FOR MUCH OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND EXCEPT AREAS NEAR THE SOUTH COAST WHERE THERE MAY BE SOME MIXING THE MODELS HAVE COME INTO VERY GOOD AGREEMENT ON A POTENTIALLY HISTORIC WINTER STORM AND A POSSIBLE BLIZZARD THAT WILL IMPACT MUCH OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. WE ARE CONFIDENT THAT MUCH OF THE REGION WILL RECEIVE 1 TO 2 FEET OF SNOW. STILL TOUGH TO PINPOINT WHERE THE BEST CHANCE FOR THE HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE...BUT CLIMATOLOGY FAVORS THE I-95 CORRIDOR. WE ALSO EXPECT A MID LEVEL DEFORMATION BAND THAT WILL LEAD TO LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS ACROSS THE INTERIOR. THE BULK OF THE STORM APPEARS TO BE IN THE FRIDAY NIGHT/SATURDAY MORNING TIME FRAME. Continue reading
Some hae meat and canna eat,
And some wad eat that want it;
But we hae meat, and we can eat,
Sae let the Lord be thankit.– Robert Burns (1759-1796)
The Bedford Citizen, Bedford Real Estate Market Heating Up (emphasis added):
According to realtor Suzanne Koller of Suzanne and Company— Bedford’s branch of Keller-Williams—the real estate market has been increasingly busy over the last few months, to the point where there are ready buyers but very few houses to show them. Koller reported a recent bidding war as additional evidence of a turn in the tide.
“I’ve been begging people to sell their houses because we don’t have much inventory,” she said in a recent phone interview. “We were feeling the shift somewhat at the end of last year. It’s like they say ‘you don’t know you’ve been at the bottom until it starts to get better.’ People have been waiting to buy because they thought prices would keep going down. Now they want to move before prices get too high.”
Light posting for the next week or so. I need to deal with some things I’ve been neglecting:
Get into the nitty gritty—tell me what you do, and why you’re doing it. I’ll collect these and then post them at the Statistics Forum, one a day for a year. I think that could be great, truly a unique resource into what statistics and quantitative research is really like.
By posting the above publicly perhaps I’ll be more likely to complete said tasks, i.e., be motivated to avoid having to explain how I didn’t manage to complete them.
From boston.com:
AUSTIN, Texas (AP) — Thousands of gun advocates gathered peacefully Saturday at state capitals around the U.S. to rally against stricter limits on firearms, with demonstrators carrying rifles and pistols in some places while those elsewhere settled for waving hand-scrawled signs or screaming themselves hoarse.
Brad DeLong sends me to Xenos taking note of a Wall Street Journal article, How Much Will Your Taxes Jump? The article features this figure:
Hmm… What doesn’t pass the laugh test in this picture?
(Hint: Read the fine print. Continue reading
Yesterday I posted an excerpt of Joe Nocera’s column in the NY Times on the government’s failure to deal effectively with the foreclosure fiasco. The fact the so many people took on mortgages that, in a reality-based world, all parties involved would have acknowledged they couldn’t afford is a fiasco in itself, but that’s actually not the fiasco the government was supposed to be investigating. The fiasco they were supposed to be investigating was that banks foreclosed on people who were current on their mortgage payments. More simply stated, banks stole people’s homes. Matt Taibbi wrote about it several years ago in Rolling Stone. An excerpt:
It’s been all over the news today that internet activist Aaron Swartz committed suicide. His name rang a bell when I saw the headlines but I had to read the articles to be reminded of who he was and why he was familiar to so many people. (He was involved in a number of high profile conflicts with the Govt on information sharing and censorship-related issues.) He made a strong impression on a lot of people. I read more than a few commentaries that held him up as a hero. I read enough to want to find out about him. Let me preface my comments below with the statement that it’s a tragedy that he took his life. It’s sad that he wasn’t able connect with the support that could have helped him through his depression. That said, I am at a loss to see him as a hero. He came across as a precocious kid. Incredibly smart. Did some good things. Did some irresponsible things. Someone who left a strong impression on those he interacted with. Rather than the specifics of who Aaron Swartz was though, what struck me even more in the course of my reading was the apparent cultural differences between myself and those of Mr. Swartz generation, i.e., people roughly a generation younger than myself.
